{
  "schema_version": "bolt-launchpad.v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-30T18:20:31.932Z",
  "key_source": "server",
  "model_used": "deepseek-flash",
  "narrative": {
    "confluence": "BoltFactors and BoltNews agree across all eleven listed asset classes, each at confluence 0.89 with friction 0. The shared direction is lower for US large cap (-1.7% vs -2.1%), US tech / Nasdaq 100 (-3.5% vs -4%), US small cap (-1.9% vs -2.1%), Dow industrials (-0.8% vs -1.1%), XLK (-5.2% vs -5.6%) and gold (-3.1% vs -3.5%), and higher for crude oil (1.6% vs 2.7%), XLE (1.4% vs 1.3%) and the 2-, 10- and 30-year yields. Confluence counts independent agreement, not likelihood.",
    "conflicts": "Four tickers carry friction 1 with zero confluence. Equity Screener scores Applied Digital at 79.22 and Ford at 82.07 while YT Briefing marks both -1; Mosaic (84.26) and MP Materials (80.16) show the same split, with Earnings Screener neutral on both. Three baskets conflict at friction 0.5: BoltFactors reads Neutral / Transition -1.5%, Oversold / Mean-Reversion Watch -3% and Smaller-Cap High-Beta Breakout -2.9%, while Equity Screener scores them positive. Unresolved.",
    "novelty": "Ten tickers appear in only two pipelines at bridge 0.03. Earnings Screener is neutral on all of them; the second view comes from YT Briefing or Equity Screener. Directional splits: Aptiv (67.23), Core Scientific (78.11), CVR Energy (77.14), Dominion and enCore Energy positive; Applied Optoelectronics, Equillium and Figma negative; AIB Data Centers and Dakota Gold flat. These are low-overlap pairings, not corroborated signals.",
    "macro_frame": "BoltFactors reports a Choppy Neutral regime, composite 0.015 at confidence 0.87. Breadth is soft: 53.64% above the 50-day, 55.97% above the 200-day, advancers 400 against decliners 635, up/down volume 0.4, and only 22.58% of baskets positive. Rotation scores 1.65 with leadership in Institutional Large-Cap Accumulation and Low-Vol Aligned Uptrend. BoltNews context is lower on market, futures and overnight.",
    "event_risk": "Earnings Screener lists a dense 2026-10-30 before-open slate including LY B, EXC, D, OMF, CPRI, NWL, KVUE and TXNM, with a second cluster on 2026-11-02 spanning FOX, FOXA, MATCH, HLF and CRC. BetNews notes 14 sports markets excluded, leaving only macro, political and policy markets in scope. No other event-risk data is in the digest.",
    "commentary_check": "YT Briefing contributes 109 creator mentions across 47 entities and is the dissenting side on all four friction-1 tickers. Its overlap with Earnings Screener is 34 shared names at independence 1, and with Equity Screener 5 shared at independence 1. BoltNews and BoltFactors share 11 names at independence 0.89. No commentary claim in the digest is corroborated by a third pipeline.",
    "action_queue": "Nothing here is a recommendation. The queue is verification: resolve the four friction-1 tickers (Applied Digital, Ford, Mosaic, MP Materials) where Equity Screener and YT Briefing oppose; reconcile the three conflicting baskets; and treat the ten bridge-0.03 novelty names as unconfirmed until a third pipeline weighs in. Equity Screener and BetNews are flagged stale in the digest and should not be treated as current."
  },
  "narrative_provenance": {
    "confluence": "model",
    "conflicts": "model",
    "novelty": "model",
    "macro_frame": "model",
    "event_risk": "model",
    "commentary_check": "model",
    "action_queue": "model"
  },
  "graph": {
    "totals": {
      "entityCount": 1726,
      "signalCount": 1921,
      "productCount": 6,
      "multiProductCount": 69
    },
    "confluence": [
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        "key": "asset-class:crude",
        "kind": "asset-class",
        "id": "crude",
        "label": "Crude oil",
        "degree": 2,
        "confluence": 0.89,
        "friction": 0,
        "consensus": 1,
        "bridge": 0.08,
        "netDirection": 1,
        "novel": false,
        "products": [
          "boltfactors",
          "boltnews"
        ],
        "stances": [
          {
            "product": "boltfactors",
            "direction": 1,
            "claim": "USO 1.6% since close, rvol 1.44",
            "magnitude": 1.6,
            "unit": "pct",
            "horizon": "intraday",
            "evidence_url": "https://factors.bolt.ceo",
            "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:01:09-04:00"
          },
          {
            "product": "boltnews",
            "direction": 1,
            "claim": "CL1 futures 2.7% vs prior settle, 1.9% overnight",
            "magnitude": 2.7,
            "unit": "pct",
            "horizon": "intraday",
            "evidence_url": "https://news.bolt.ceo",
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          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "key": "asset-class:gold",
        "kind": "asset-class",
        "id": "gold",
        "label": "Gold",
        "degree": 2,
        "confluence": 0.89,
        "friction": 0,
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          {
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            "evidence_url": "https://factors.bolt.ceo",
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          },
          {
            "product": "boltnews",
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            "claim": "GC1 futures -3.5% vs prior settle, -3.4% overnight",
            "magnitude": -3.5,
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            "product": "boltfactors",
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            "claim": "IEF 0.3% since close, rvol 1.24",
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          },
          {
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            "claim": "TY1 futures 0.4% vs prior settle, 0% overnight",
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            "unit": "pct",
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      {
        "key": "asset-class:rates-2y",
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          {
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            "claim": "SHY 0.1% since close, rvol 1.11",
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        ]
      },
      {
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        "stances": [
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            "claim": "TLT 0.2% since close, rvol 0.94",
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          },
          {
            "product": "boltnews",
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            "claim": "US1 futures 0.3% vs prior settle, -0.1% overnight",
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            "evidence_url": "https://news.bolt.ceo",
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          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "key": "asset-class:us-large-cap",
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        "stances": [
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            "product": "boltfactors",
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            "claim": "SPY -1.7% since close, rvol 1.81",
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            "unit": "pct",
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            "evidence_url": "https://factors.bolt.ceo",
            "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:01:09-04:00"
          },
          {
            "product": "boltnews",
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            "claim": "ES1 futures -2.1% vs prior settle, -1.4% overnight",
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        "stances": [
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            "claim": "^DJI cash -1.1% on the session",
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        "stances": [
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            "claim": "IWM -1.9% since close, rvol 1.16",
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            "unit": "pct",
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            "evidence_url": "https://factors.bolt.ceo",
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      {
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        "stances": [
          {
            "product": "boltfactors",
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            "claim": "QQQ -3.5% since close, rvol 2.5",
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            "unit": "pct",
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            "evidence_url": "https://factors.bolt.ceo",
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          },
          {
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            "claim": "^NDX cash -4% on the session",
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          }
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      },
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        "kind": "asset-class",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "key": "asset-class:xlk",
        "kind": "asset-class",
        "id": "xlk",
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        "stances": [
          {
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            "evidence_url": "https://factors.bolt.ceo",
            "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:01:09-04:00"
          },
          {
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            "evidence_url": "https://news.bolt.ceo",
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    ],
    "conflicts": [
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        "key": "ticker:APLD",
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        "id": "APLD",
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        "confluence": 0,
        "friction": 1,
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        ],
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            "claim": "top-25 shortlist, opportunity 79.22336090990058, shorted near lows / peer lag, wave Wave 1 / accumulation",
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          },
          {
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            "claim": "Trade Brigade: Trade Brigade describes a neutral/patient near-term tape, with ES/SPY needing higher lows above stated levels, NQ/QQQ vulnerable to a look-below-and-fail, Intel's news gap in focus, and inflation data next week as the larger macro catalyst.",
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            "evidence_url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=69iW-74Wri8",
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        ]
      },
      {
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        "id": "F",
        "label": "Ford Motor Company",
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        "confluence": 0,
        "friction": 1,
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        "stances": [
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          },
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      {
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        "id": "MOS",
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          },
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      },
      {
        "key": "ticker:MP",
        "kind": "ticker",
        "id": "MP",
        "label": "MP Materials Corp.",
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          },
          {
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            "claim": "Trade Brigade: Trade Brigade describes a neutral/patient near-term tape, with ES/SPY needing higher lows above stated levels, NQ/QQQ vulnerable to a look-below-and-fail, Intel's news gap in focus, and inflation data next week as the larger macro catalyst.",
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            "evidence_url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=69iW-74Wri8",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "key": "basket:neutral-transition",
        "kind": "basket",
        "id": "Neutral / Transition",
        "label": "Neutral / Transition",
        "degree": 2,
        "confluence": 0,
        "friction": 0.5,
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        "products": [
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        ],
        "stances": [
          {
            "product": "boltfactors",
            "direction": -1,
            "claim": "production basket -1.5% d1, breadth 35.99% advancing",
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    "The tape does not support \"markets rallied today\" — do not assert it.",
    "The tape does not support \"S&P 500 rallied\" — do not assert it.",
    "The tape does not support \"Nasdaq rallied\" — do not assert it.",
    "The tape does not support \"futures point higher\" — do not assert it."
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